What Is A Stock Chart Pattern?
Charts
are used to visually illustrate the price action of an underlying stock (or any
financial trading instrument). When price action repeats itself consistently,
it can form an almost predictive pattern based on history. This is called a
chart pattern. While the patterns make sense and look obvious after the fact,
it is important to note that with more and more traders and algorithms trying to outsmart each other, the actual patterns may not
be exactly perfect as outlined in many books and articles.
Chart
patterns are linear throughout all time frames, which mean that a pattern that
forms on a 5-minute chart performs the same way it would on a daily time frame
chart. The only different is the range of prices being larger for wider time
frames. Chart patterns can also form within chart patterns. For example, a
wider time frame daily bull flag pattern may contain a 5-minute cup and handle
breakout pattern that forms first.
Why
Do They Work?
Price action is created from buying and
selling transactions. As both buyers and sellers are trying to profit or
minimize losses, they are always jockeying for a more advantageous price. This
causes prices to fluctuate consistently. This price fluctuation gives clues to
the price levels where there may be more interest in buying or selling and the
movement of these price levels help to determine trends, supports and resistance
levels.
The patterns tend to repeat themselves and
often become a self-fulfilling prophecy at times as traders and algorithms
become adept at identifying and reacting early. However, when transparency
becomes too obvious, these chart patterns can fail and cause a stronger
movement in the opposite direction.
Ascending
Triangle (Bullish)
An ascending triangle is a bullish price
pattern illustrated with flat highs representing the immovable resistance
followed by rising lows representing anxious buyers raising the support. Sellers have an oversupply of stock shares
and are unwilling to lift their offer prices nor get shaken out on price
pullbacks. Meanwhile, there are buyers raising their bid prices on each
pullback that will ultimately overtake the sellers causing a breakout.
Characteristics
Flat highs and higher lows create a triangle
when you draw the trend lines. The distance between the resistance and rising
support gets smaller until the price breaks out through the prior resistance
near the apex of the triangle. The breakout signals another uptrend forming.
Flag Patterns (Bull and Bear)
Flags are trend continuation patterns. They
form after a very strong initial parabolic price push higher (bullish) or lower
(bearish). The stock takes a rest in the form of a pullback with parallel trend
lines representing lower highs and lower lows (bullish) and higher highs and
high lows (bearish) until the stock breaks back through the upper trend line on
bull flags or lower trend line on bear flags to resume the trend.
Characteristics
Bull Flags: The stock will spike
higher, peak and sell-off with lower highs and lower lows forming a parallel
upper and lower trend lines. When the stock closes back above the upper trend
line of the flag, it can trigger another breakout to resume the prior uptrend
as the stock proceeds to make new highs.
Bear Flags: The stock falls quickly and
steeply and forms a reversion bounce composed of higher highs (upper trend
line) and higher lows (lower trend line). The trend lines are parallel
suggesting an orderly bounce attempt. When the stock falls back under the lower
trend line, a breakdown triggers causing the downtrend to resume as stock falls
to new lows.
Double Bottom (Bullish)
A double bottom indicates that support has
stabilized on a falling stock by maintaining the same price lows against
separate breakdown attempts. This indicates that sellers may finally be
depleted, which causes buyers to step back into the stock and reversing the
trend back up. This is a bullish reversal signal that often resembles a “W” on the
price charts.
Characteristics
The stock will make sharp lows and then
rebound before selling back down to re-test the low before bouncing harder to
reverse the trend back up. The longer in between the first and second test of
the lows, the stronger the breakout can be. Usually the low candle will be a
reversal candlestick like a hammer, which indicates capitulation.
Double Top (Bearish)
A double top indicates the ceiling on a
stock’s price as it peaks out twice at the top of the range. Buyers give up
after the second top as sellers get nervous and take profits while
short-sellers step into the fray. Double top patterns are the opposite of
double bottoms and resemble an “M” shape
Characteristics
The stock will make sharp low and then rebound
before selling back down to re-test the low before bouncing harder to reverse
the trend back up. The longer in between the first and second test of the lows,
the stronger the breakout can be. Usually the low candle will be a reversal
candlestick like a hammer, which indicates capitulation.
Pennants (Bull and Bear)
Pennants start off like flags with a strong
surge up (bullish) or down (bearish), but instead of forming a short-term
downtrend channel with parallel upper and lower trend lines, they form a symmetrical
triangle with opposing upper and lower trend lines leading to an apex point
where the stock should break the lower trend line (bearish) or upper trend line
(bullish) to resume the prior trend.
Characteristics
Bullish Pennants:
The stock spikes sharply before peaking out
and forming a short-term downtrend composed of lower highs and higher lows. As
the flag trend lines get closer, buyers step up to the plate and thrust the
stock back up through the upper flag trend line triggers a buy
signal as it breaks out through the previous top to resume
the uptrend to new highs.
Bearish Pennants:
The stock falls sharply to form the flagpole
and bounces. Each bounce makes a lower high and a higher low forming a falling
upper trend line versus a rising lower trend line. As the trend lines get
closer to each other, the stock will then breakdown through the lower trend
line triggering a sell signal. When the stock
falls through the previous low of the flagpole, it panics out more sellers as
the downtrend resumes.
Bullish
Cup and Handle
This pattern is composed of two parts. The
first part is a steep sell-off from the lip to form a rounding bottom that
recovers the stock back to the beginning of the sell-off (lip) This forms a “U”
representing the cup, which rejects any further attempts higher. The second part
is composed of either a bull flag or bullish pennant on the pullback that forms
the handle. When the stock rallies back up through the upper flag trend line to
breakout through the lip, it triggers the pattern resulting in an uptrend.
Characteristics
The pattern starts with a steep drop from the
lip. The choppy rounding bottom should take some time to form as opposed to a
sharp bottom and quick bounce that resembles a “V” shape. The cup should
generally resemble a “U” shape, which includes a choppy consolidation period
that flattens out before recovering up back to the lip price area where it
rejects again forming the handle portion of the pattern. The handle usually
resembles a bull flag or bullish pennant.




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